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Treaty United vs Pike Rovers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2024 Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Devitt L.
4' Event
Curran E.
(Penalty)
33'
Sub
Curran E. In: Vrljicak T.
Out: Curran E.

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this FAI Cup 2024 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Treaty United
15%
Draws
51%
Pike Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pike Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Treaty United have won more games recently than Pike Rovers.
  • Treaty United are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Treaty United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Treaty United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 68%
Pike Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Pike Rovers
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2024 FAI Cup
Treaty United vs Pike Rovers
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Devitt L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vrljicak T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pike Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 86 / 100
Pike Rovers 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Pike Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pike Rovers let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Treaty United's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pike Rovers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
07 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 0
Treaty United
03 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Treaty United
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1
Longford
Page 1 of 6

Pike Rovers

(Away)
16 Aug
Treaty United
7 : 0
Pike Rovers
20 Jul
Pike Rovers
3 : 1
Midleton
19 May
Pike Rovers
2 : 1
Villa FC
31 Jul
Bonagee
6 : 0
Pike Rovers
10 Aug
UC Dublin
2 : 0
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
College Corinthians 4
Cobh Wanderers 5
Maynooth University 1
Gorey Rangers 4
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
Cockhill 7
Ayrfield United 1
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Wilton United 1
Glebe North 0
TBD -
Carrigaline Utd -
Ballyfermot 3
Rockmount 0
TBD -
Leeds Cork -
Wayside Celtic 2
Collinstown 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilbarrack Utd -
Pike Rovers 2
Villa FC 1
Midleton 3
St Francis 0
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 3
Cobh Wanderers 0
Gorey Rangers 0
UC Dublin 4
Cobh Ramblers 0
Kerry 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 1
Finn Harps 0
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 1
Galway United 6
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Cockhill 1
Athlone 1
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Dundalk 1
Wilton United 2
Carrigaline Utd 1
Ballyfermot 3
Leeds Cork 1
Wayside Celtic 1
Wexford 3
Treaty United 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Pike Rovers 3
Midleton 1
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 0
UC Dublin 2
Kerry 2
Bohemians 3
Cork City 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Galway United 1
Waterford 2
Athlone 3
Drogheda 9
Wilton United 0
Ballyfermot 0
Wexford 3
Treaty United 7
Pike Rovers 0
Quarter-finals
UC Dublin 0
Bohemians 4
Derry City 2
Shelbourne 0
Athlone 1
Drogheda 4
Wexford 4
Treaty United 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
Drogheda 3
Wexford 2
Final
Derry City 0
Drogheda 2