Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Treaty United vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Whelan C.
38' Event
Manning R.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Smith H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Treaty United
35%
Draws
39%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UC Dublin lately — more wins on the board than Treaty United.
  • Model gives Treaty United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • UC Dublin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor UC Dublin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 10%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United UC Dublin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
1:2
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
0:3
Feb 27, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akinrintayo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 40 / 100
UC Dublin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

UC Dublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Treaty United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS UC Dublin
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -