Sport Picks

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Treaty United vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Markets Field
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treaty United host UC Dublin in the FAI Cup. This one's hard to separate. Treaty United have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against UC Dublin's 1.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Treaty United have won 2 to UC Dublin's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.63) point toward UC Dublin. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Treaty United
30%
Draws
34%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UC Dublin lately — more wins on the board than Treaty United.
  • Model gives Treaty United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FAI Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 14%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United UC Dublin
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
0:3
Feb 27, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
1:0
Jul 4, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Treaty United
1:1
May 16, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs UC Dublin
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 35 / 100
UC Dublin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United UC Dublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Treaty United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

UC Dublin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS UC Dublin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Crumlin Utd4
Salthill0
Douglas Hall1
Fanad United0
Castlebar Celtic3
North End United0
TBD-
TBD-
Lucan Utd5
University College Cork2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liffey Wanderers1
Ringmahon Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
Baldoyle Utd.2
Leicester Celtic AFC0
TBD-
TBD-
St. Patricks-
TBD-
TBD-
Wexford-
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic4
River Valley Rangers1
College Corinthians2
Killester Donnycarney1
St. Michaels1
Janesboro3
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
TBD-
Midleton2
Mayfield Utd0
Wayside Celtic3
St Mochta's4
TBD-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
TBD-
Fairview Rangers0
Tolka3
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
1/16-finals
Galway United-
Crumlin Utd-
Douglas Hall-
Castlebar Celtic-
Drogheda-
Lucan Utd-
Finn Harps-
Bray-
Ringmahon Rangers-
Bohemians-
Baldoyle Utd.-
Longford-
St. Patricks-
Wexford-
Waterford-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic-
College Corinthians-
Janesboro-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
Midleton-
St Mochta's-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
Tolka-
Shamrock Rovers-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
Shelbourne-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-