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Treaty United W vs Athlone W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gibson M.
27' Event
Strickland A.
63' Event
McGuane M.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Treaty United W and Athlone W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athlone W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Treaty United W
30%
Draws
39%
Athlone W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athlone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athlone W come out ahead of Treaty United W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Athlone W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Treaty United W Clean Sheet 10%
Athlone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United W Athlone W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 24
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Athlone W
1:4
May 30, 2026 All-Island Cup Women
Treaty United W vs Athlone W
3:1
May 16, 2026 National League Women
Athlone W vs Treaty United W
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 National League Women
Treaty United W vs Athlone W
1:1
May 24, 2025 All-Island Cup Women
Athlone W vs Treaty United W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United W Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuane M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Athlone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strickland A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United W 18 / 100
Athlone W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United W Athlone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Treaty United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Athlone W let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United W VS Athlone W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sligo Rovers W
1 : 1
Treaty United W
19 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Peamount W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Galway United W
0 : 0
Treaty United W
29 Aug
Treaty United W
1 : 0
Bohemians W
Page 1 of 6

Athlone W

(Away)
03 Oct
Athlone W
0 : 0
Galway United W
27 Sept
Athlone W
1 : 3
Shelbourne W
19 Sept
DLR Waves W
0 : 3
Athlone W
12 Sept
Treaty United W
1 : 4
Athlone W
05 Sept
Athlone W
3 : 1
Waterford W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone W 20 16 3 1 47:14 51
2 Shelbourne W 20 12 5 3 40:19 41
3 Galway United W 20 11 6 3 27:16 39
4 Shamrock Rovers W 20 10 4 6 39:23 34
5 Sligo Rovers W 20 8 7 5 35:28 31
6 Wexford W 20 8 6 6 34:25 30
7 Treaty United W 20 8 6 6 25:18 30
8 Bohemians W 20 6 5 9 22:29 23
9 Peamount W 20 5 3 12 23:38 18
10 Waterford W 20 3 6 11 17:40 15
11 DLR Waves W 20 4 2 14 12:35 14
12 Cork City W 20 1 3 16 13:49 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)