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Trefelin vs Flint Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trefelin host Flint Town in the Cymru Premier. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Trefelin have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Flint Town's 1.39 scored and 1.64 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back Trefelin to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Trefelin
20%
Draws
51%
Flint Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flint Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Trefelin have won more games recently than Flint Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 16%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Flint Town
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 36 / 100
Flint Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Flint Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flint Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trefelin scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Flint Town let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Flint Town lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS Flint Town
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Flint Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)