Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Crole J.
(Penalty)
21'
21'
Baker A.
23'
23'
Crole J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Penybont taking it.
- Trefelin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trefelin | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Cymru Premier
Trefelin vs Penybont
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Trefelin vs Penybont
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Bowen L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daley N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trefelin 10 / 100
Penybont 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trefelin Penybont
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Trefelin scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Penybont let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Trefelin has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Trefelin VS Penybont
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Trefelin
(Home) 03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Penybont
(Away) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
