Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trefelin vs Ton Pentre

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Welsh J.
45' Event
Tomlinson S.
53' Event
Berry S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Trefelin
15%
Draws
73%
Ton Pentre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Trefelin have won more games recently than Ton Pentre.
  • Ton Pentre are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 20%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Ton Pentre
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 21 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.39 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Ton Pentre
4:1
Nov 23, 2019 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Trefelin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomlinson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Ton Pentre Compare

Top Goalscorer Welsh J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 24 / 100
Ton Pentre 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Ton Pentre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ton Pentre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ton Pentre let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Trefelin found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Ton Pentre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 4
Llandudno FC
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Ton Pentre

(Away)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
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