Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trefelin vs Treowen

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Georgievsky K.
17' Event
Saunders C.
24' Event
Jones J.

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Trefelin
20%
Draws
69%
Treowen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treowen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trefelin lately — more wins on the board than Treowen.
  • Treowen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Treowen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Treowen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.29 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Treowen
6:0
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Trefelin
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Georgievsky K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Treowen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 10 / 100
Treowen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Treowen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treowen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Trefelin's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Treowen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS Treowen
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
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Treowen

(Away)
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0
Caerphilly
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2
Treowen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)