Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Treharris Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cornelly
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Treharris Athletic come out ahead of Cornelly on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Treharris Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Treharris Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Cornelly Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treharris Athletic | Cornelly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 3 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.58 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.21 | 2.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Treharris Athletic vs Cornelly
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treharris Athletic 30 / 100
Cornelly 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treharris Athletic Cornelly
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cornelly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Treharris Athletic scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Cornelly has conceded goals in 67% of their last 3 outings.
Treharris Athletic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treharris Athletic VS Cornelly
1.75 Goals Scored 1.33
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
100% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Treharris Athletic
(Home) 16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
Page 1 of 3
16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
09 Nov
Treharris Athletic
1 : 7 Monmouth
11 Sept
Treharris Athletic
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 2
Cornelly
(Away) 20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
08 Nov
Cornelly
1 : 5 Goytre Utd
04 Oct
Cornelly
1 : 0 Pontardawe
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 3
Afan Lido 2
Pencoed 1
Ton Pentre 3
Cwmamman United 4
Dinas Powys 0
Garden Village 1
Blaenrhondda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 2
STM Sports 1
Trefelin 1
Pure Swansea 2
Goytre AFC 2
Radnor Valley 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Flint Town 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Gresford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Penrhyncoch 2
New Brighton Villa 1
Prestatyn 5
Holyhead 4
Corwen 2
Coedpoeth 2
Ruthin Town 3
Cefn Albion 7
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penlan Club 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 2
Rhostyllen 0
Llandudno Amateurs 2
Nantlle Vale FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sully Sports 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 3
Pwllheli 0
Hawarden Rangers 2
Llanfair United 3
Llay Welfare 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Penycae FC 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Llangefni 2
Borth United 0
Llandudno Albion 3
St. Asaph 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 1
Caerau Ely 0
Cornelly 2
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 5
Port Talbot 0
West End 0
Caldicot 6
Buckley 3
Brymbo 1
Holyhead Town 3
Denbigh 9
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Conwy Borough 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monmouth 4
Undy 3
Taffs Well 1
Ynysddu Welfare 2
Penybont 3
Panteg 1
Llandrindod 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 1
Ton Pentre 2
Cwmamman United 2
Blaenrhondda 1
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 4
Pure Swansea 3
Goytre AFC 3
Pontypridd United 6
Flint Town 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Prestatyn 6
Holyhead 3
Ruthin Town 1
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor City 6
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 4
Nantlle Vale FC 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
Sully Sports 1
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 4
Llanfair United 1
Llay Welfare 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 9
Llangefni 5
St. Asaph 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 4
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 3
Caldicot 2
Buckley 1
Denbigh 3
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Rhyl 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Monmouth 1
Ynysddu Welfare 3
Penybont 2
Aberbargoed Buds 0
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ton Pentre 1
Cwmamman United 3
Aberystwyth 4
Haverfordwest 3
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 0
Bala 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Holyhead 1
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Goytre Utd 0
Guilsfield 2
Connahs Q. 4
TNS 3
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Porthmadog 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llanelli 0
Briton Ferry 2
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 2
Denbigh 1
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 3
Ynysddu Welfare 1
Penybont 1
Barry Town 4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 1
Haverfordwest 0
Bala 4
Caernarfon 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 2
Barry Town 3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Bala 0
Caernarfon 1
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 8
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 2
Barry Town 3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 2
Barry Town 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3
