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FA Cup 2023/2024

Porthcawl Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treharris Athletic play Porthcawl Town in the FA Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Treharris Athletic averaged 1.58 goals scored and 3.58 conceded. Porthcawl Town averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Treharris Athletic won 0, Porthcawl Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Treharris Athletic and 2.38 for Porthcawl Town. This points to a Treharris Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Treharris Athletic

15%

Draws

38%

Porthcawl Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treharris Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Treharris Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Porthcawl Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 54%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Porthcawl Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Treharris Athletic	Porthcawl Town
Matches Played	12	8
Wins	3	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.58	1
Goals Conceded	3.58	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.75	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup

Treharris Athletic vs Porthcawl Town

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treharris Athletic 44 / 100

Porthcawl Town 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Treharris Athletic Porthcawl Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Treharris Athletic or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.1%

1.19

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Treharris Athletic attacking → ← attacking Porthcawl Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treharris Athletic scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Porthcawl Town let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Treharris Athletic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Porthcawl Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 3

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00