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Treibach vs Kapfenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Turnerwald Stadion, Treibach
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Stauder F.
41' Event
Rostas J.
60' Event
Zlibanovic R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Treibach
15%
Draws
36%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treibach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Treibach have won more games recently than Kapfenberg.
  • Model gives Treibach a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Treibach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kapfenberg, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Treibach Clean Sheet 20%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treibach Kapfenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.72 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 OFB Cup
Treibach vs Kapfenberg
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 OFB Cup
Treibach vs Kapfenberg
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treibach Compare

Top Goalscorer Kmetic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Stauder F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rostas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treibach 58 / 100
Kapfenberg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treibach Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treibach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapfenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Treibach scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Kapfenberg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treibach VS Kapfenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treibach

(Home)
02 Oct
Atus Velden
2 : 1
Treibach
27 Sept
Treibach
3 : 0
A. Klagenfurt
18 Sept
Volkermarkt
3 : 0
Treibach
11 Sept
Treibach
0 : 0
Donau Klagenfurt
04 Sept
Bleiburg
3 : 1
Treibach
Page 1 of 6

Kapfenberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -