Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trelleborg vs Skovde

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Vångavallen, Trelleborg
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ruuska O.
36'
Sub
Elofsson G. In: Remmerfelt A.
Out: Elofsson G.
46'
Sub
Basic A. In: Strom E.
Out: Basic A.

AI Match Summary

Trelleborg in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trelleborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Trelleborg
15%
Draws
31%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trelleborg lately — more wins on the board than Skovde.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 12%
Skovde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trelleborg Skovde
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Trelleborg
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Skovde
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Superettan
Trelleborg vs Skovde
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Superettan
Skovde vs Trelleborg
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Superettan
Trelleborg vs Skovde
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruuska O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poppler V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Skovde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trelleborg 29 / 100
Skovde 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trelleborg Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trelleborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trelleborg found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Skovde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Trelleborg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trelleborg VS Skovde
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trelleborg

(Home)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
12 Sept
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
30 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Utsikten
Page 1 of 6

Skovde

(Away)
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
26 Aug
Skovde
1 : 2
Halmstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 23 11 8 4 46:27 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
7 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)