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Trem vs America RN

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Aleilson A.
38' Event
Luiz Thiago
41' Event
Luiz Thiago

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Trem and America RN finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America RN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Trem
6%
Draws
90%
America RN
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America RN come out ahead of Trem on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on America RN taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trem Clean Sheet 16%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem America RN
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Serie D
America RN vs Trem
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Trem vs America RN
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleilson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Thiago
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 10 / 100
America RN 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem America RN

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

America RN let in goals in 42% of their last 33 matches.

Trem went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS America RN
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense0
ABC0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Iguatu1
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Treze PB1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte0
ASA1
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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