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Trenelle vs Franciscain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Franciscain in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Trenelle
15%
Draws
64%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Franciscain have won more games recently than Trenelle.
  • Win probability leans Franciscain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Franciscain have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 19%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trenelle Franciscain
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 26
Draws 12 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.45 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Franciscain
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Franciscain
0:1
Dec 3, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Trenelle
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Trenelle
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Franciscain
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trenelle 10 / 100
Franciscain 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trenelle Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Trenelle's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Franciscain let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Trenelle has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trenelle VS Franciscain
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trenelle

(Home)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
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Franciscain

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)