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Trenelle vs Monnerot

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2020/2021 game between Trenelle and Monnerot finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trenelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Trenelle
30%
Draws
12%
Monnerot
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trenelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trenelle come out ahead of Monnerot on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Trenelle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trenelle have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 18%
Monnerot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trenelle Monnerot
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 15 2
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.66 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Monnerot
4:1
Oct 17, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Monnerot vs Trenelle
1:1
Nov 30, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Monnerot vs Trenelle
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trenelle 85 / 100
Monnerot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trenelle Monnerot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trenelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monnerot has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Trenelle found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (38 games).

Solid form: Trenelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trenelle VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trenelle

(Home)
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
08 May
Trenelle
0 : 0
Golden Lion
Page 1 of 8

Monnerot

(Away)
02 Jun
CS Case-Pilote
3 : 0
Monnerot
21 May
Monnerot
0 : 5
Club Colonial
07 May
Monnerot
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
30 Apr
Assaut
0 : 0
Monnerot
23 Apr
Monnerot
0 : 3
Franciscain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 14 13 0 1 42:11 53
2 Samaritaine 14 9 3 2 28:8 44
3 RC Saint Joseph 14 5 6 3 19:18 35
4 Assaut 14 6 1 7 18:22 33
5 Robert 14 5 2 7 17:26 31
6 Trenelle 14 3 3 8 22:22 26
7 Monnerot 14 2 5 7 18:39 25
8 Golden Star 14 1 4 9 16:34 21
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Franciscain 14 12 0 2 42:10 50
2 Club Colonial 14 11 1 2 33:13 48
3 Essor-Prechotain 14 9 1 4 25:22 42
4 Aiglon Lamentin 14 8 2 4 26:12 40
5 RC Lorrain 14 3 3 8 16:28 26
6 RC Riviere-Pilote 14 2 4 8 7:21 24
7 New Star Ducos 14 2 2 10 13:33 22
8 Olympique du Marin 14 1 3 10 7:30 20
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2020/2021 (Championship Group)