Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Briamasco

Alcione Milano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trento play Alcione Milano in the Serie C - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trento averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Alcione Milano averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Trento won 3, Alcione Milano won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Trento and 1.00 for Alcione Milano. This points to a Trento double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Trento

22%

Draws

32%

Alcione Milano

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Trento picked up more points recently compared to Alcione Milano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 29%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Trento Clean Sheet 23%

Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trento	Alcione Milano
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	14	11
Draws	10	9
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.6	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.74
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group A

Trento vs Alcione Milano

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A

Alcione Milano vs Trento

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Mar 17, 2025 Serie C - Group A

Trento vs Alcione Milano

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Nov 2, 2024 Serie C - Group A

Alcione Milano vs Trento

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 46 / 100

Alcione Milano 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trento Alcione Milano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trento or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +26.1%

4.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trento attacking → ← attacking Alcione Milano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Alcione Milano let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Trento went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alcione Milano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 42

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vicenza	38	27	8	3	69:26	89
2	Union Brescia	38	19	12	7	49:24	69
3	Renate	38	17	13	8	53:37	64
4	Lecco	38	18	10	10	47:34	64
5	Trento	38	16	15	7	58:42	63
6	Cittadella	38	17	8	13	45:43	59
7	Lumezzane	38	14	14	10	46:39	56
8	Alcione Milano	38	15	10	13	35:28	55
9	Arzignano	38	15	8	15	50:48	53
10	Giana Erminio	38	14	10	14	38:39	52
11	AlbinoLeffe	38	13	11	14	51:49	50
12	Inter U23	38	12	12	14	40:41	48
13	Novara	38	9	20	9	40:39	47
14	Pro Vercelli	38	13	7	18	39:55	46
15	Ospitaletto	38	10	15	13	41:43	45
16	Pergolettese	38	10	11	17	37:50	41
17	Dolomiti Bellunesi	38	10	10	18	38:61	40
18	Virtus Verona	38	3	16	19	34:62	25
19	Pro Patria	38	4	11	23	34:70	23
20	Triestina	38	9	9	20	45:59	12