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Trento vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trento host Cittadella in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Trento at 1.48 goals for, 0.97 against; Cittadella at 1.45 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Trento have won 3 to Cittadella's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Cittadella to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trento
20%
Draws
42%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Trento Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Cittadella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Trento
1:3
Dec 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Cittadella
1:0
Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Trento
1:3
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Trento
2:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Trento
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 31 / 100
Cittadella 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Trento found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cittadella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Cittadella
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
31 Oct
Ospitaletto
0 : 0
Trento
25 Oct
Trento
2 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 3
Trento
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella

(Away)
01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0
Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 13 8 4 1 26:11 28
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 13 6 3 4 19:15 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 13 4 6 3 21:19 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 13 4 4 5 14:17 16
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)