Sport Picks
Trento vs Giana Erminio
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Briamasco, Trento 
Match Events
4'
4'
Vitale V.
56'
56'
Ruffini L.
60'
60'
Sub
Vitale V. In: Nucifero T.
Out: Vitale V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Giana Erminio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trento carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Trento's way, sitting at 90%.
- Trento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Giana Erminio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trento | Giana Erminio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Trento
2:2
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Giana Erminio
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Giana Erminio
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Trento
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Trento
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trento Compare
Top Goalscorer Chinetti F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Giana Erminio Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitale V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samele L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trento 95 / 100
Giana Erminio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trento Giana Erminio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trento scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Giana Erminio conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Trento went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trento VS Giana Erminio
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Trento
(Home) 21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1 Treviso
Page 1 of 4
Giana Erminio
(Away) 20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
09 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
