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Trento vs Lecco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Mallamo A.
29'
Sub
Ladisa M. In: Sodero A.
Out: Ladisa M.
46'
Sub
Aucelli C. In: Mehic A.
Out: Aucelli C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Trento and Lecco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trento
35%
Draws
29%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Trento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trento Clean Sheet 20%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Lecco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Lecco
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Lecco
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Trento
3:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Trento
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Lecco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lecco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 32 / 100
Lecco 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Trento stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Trento scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lecco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Lecco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
31 Oct
Ospitaletto
0 : 0
Trento
25 Oct
Trento
2 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 3
Trento
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
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Lecco

(Away)
01 Nov
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 4
Lecco
25 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
16 Oct
Pro Vercelli
0 : 5
Lecco
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)