Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trento vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Mondini G.
88' Event
Molina J. I.
(Penalty)
90'
Garetto M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Trento
30%
Draws
31%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trento come out ahead of Ospitaletto on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Trento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trento, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Trento have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Trento Clean Sheet 16%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Ospitaletto
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Trento vs Ospitaletto
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Trento
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Ospitaletto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Accornero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 36 / 100
Ospitaletto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Trento went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Ospitaletto
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Trento
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -