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Trento vs Triestina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sangalli M.
41' Event
Faggioli A.
45'
Silvestri T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Trento
35%
Draws
16%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Triestina haven't matched Trento's recent run of results.
  • Trento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trento Clean Sheet 20%
Triestina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Triestina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Triestina
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Trento
1:1
Feb 10, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Trento
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Triestina
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Triestina vs Trento
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebone T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chinetti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Faggioli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 85 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Triestina conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Trento has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Triestina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)