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Treowen vs Afan Lido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treowen host Afan Lido in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Treowen have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Afan Lido's 1.41 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Treowen slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.63) back Treowen to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Treowen
20%
Draws
40%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Treowen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Afan Lido a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Treowen Clean Sheet 14%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treowen Afan Lido
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.71 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Afan Lido
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Treowen
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treowen 27 / 100
Afan Lido 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treowen Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treowen found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Afan Lido has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Afan Lido lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treowen VS Afan Lido
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treowen

(Home)
30 Oct
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Treowen
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

Afan Lido

(Away)
31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0
Afan Lido
23 Oct
Llanelli
0 : 3
Afan Lido
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3
Penybont
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 12 7 3 2 32:21 24
2 Aberystwyth 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Caerau Ely 12 7 1 4 23:20 22
4 Pure Swansea 10 6 3 1 32:15 21
5 Ynyshir Albions 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
6 Baglan Dragons 12 5 2 5 12:13 17
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 12 4 4 4 24:21 16
8 Treowen 11 5 1 5 20:21 16
9 Carmarthen Town 12 4 3 5 24:26 15
10 Afan Lido 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
11 Caerphilly 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
12 Pontardawe 10 4 1 5 17:18 13
13 Newport City 10 3 3 4 19:15 12
14 Cardiff Draconians 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
15 Llantwit Major 11 3 2 6 12:24 11
16 Llanelli 13 0 2 11 9:40 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)