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Treowen vs Ammanford Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Jones C.
41'
Jones G.
42' Event
McDonnell C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Treowen and Ammanford Town finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Treowen
20%
Draws
40%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Treowen taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Treowen Clean Sheet 20%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treowen Ammanford Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Ammanford Town
1:5
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Treowen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treowen Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonnell C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treowen 76 / 100
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treowen Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treowen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Treowen scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ammanford Town has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Ammanford Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treowen VS Ammanford Town
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treowen

(Home)
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)