Sport Picks
Treowen vs Cambrian United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
63'
63'
Meacham G.
65'
65'
Fox J.
68'
68'
Strinati C.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Treowen and Cambrian United finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Cambrian United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Treowen a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cambrian United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treowen | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Cambrian United
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Treowen
4:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Treowen
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Treowen Compare
Top Goalscorer Meacham G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roberts S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fox J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Strinati C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treowen 40 / 100
Cambrian United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treowen Cambrian United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treowen found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Treowen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Cambrian United conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Treowen VS Cambrian United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home) 26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Treowen
1 : 5 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 3
Cambrian United
(Away) 26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
21 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
