Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Cardiff Corries in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Treowen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Treowen have won more games recently than Cardiff Corries.
- Model gives Treowen a 57% chance of winning this.
- Treowen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cardiff Corries, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Treowen Clean Sheet 16%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treowen | Cardiff Corries |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Treowen vs Cardiff Corries
0:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treowen 84 / 100
Cardiff Corries 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treowen Cardiff Corries
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Treowen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treowen found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Cardiff Corries conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Treowen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treowen VS Cardiff Corries
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home) 12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4 Treowen
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Treowen
1 : 5 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 4
Cardiff Corries
(Away) 30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0 Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4 Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1 Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 7
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0 Cardiff Corries
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Cardiff Corries
09 Jun
Carmarthen Town
3 : 0 Cardiff Corries
17 Sept
Treowen
0 : 6 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
