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Trepca Mitrovice vs Besa Peja Prediction & H2H Stats

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trepca Mitrovice host Besa Peja in the Liga e Pare. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Besa Peja have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Trepca Mitrovice have conceded 1.91 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Trepca Mitrovice have won 2 to Besa Peja's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.44, favoring Besa Peja. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Trepca Mitrovice
35%
Draws
32%
Besa Peja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice haven't matched Besa Peja's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 16%
Besa Peja Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Besa Peja
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Trepca Mitrovice
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Besa Peja
7:1
May 18, 2025 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Besa Peja
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 31 / 100
Besa Peja 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Besa Peja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Besa Peja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Trepca Mitrovice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trepca Mitrovice's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS Besa Peja
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
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Besa Peja

(Away)
27 Sept
Besa Peja
1 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Besa Peja
2 : 3
Ramiz Sadiku
05 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 0
Besa Peja
30 Aug
Besa Peja
0 : 1
Vellaznimi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
2 Dinamo Ferizaj 7 4 3 0 14:4 15
3 Prishtina e Re 7 5 0 2 14:8 15
4 Rilindja 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
5 Trepca 89 7 3 4 0 8:4 13
6 Suhareka 7 3 2 2 15:10 11
7 Vellaznimi 7 3 1 3 9:14 10
8 Ferizaj 7 2 3 2 9:5 9
9 2 Korriku 7 2 2 3 5:5 8
10 Besa Peja 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Kika 7 1 5 1 4:6 8
12 Trepca Mitrovice 7 2 2 3 6:12 8
13 Ramiz Sadiku 7 1 4 2 9:11 7
14 Istogu 7 2 1 4 5:12 7
15 Vjosa 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
16 KF Lepenci 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 7 0 3 4 6:11 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)