Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ahmeti E.
28' Event
Atta E.
35' Event
Vojvoda A.

AI Match Summary

Trepca Mitrovice in this Liga e Pare matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trepca Mitrovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Trepca Mitrovice
35%
Draws
39%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mitrovica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trepca Mitrovice lately — more wins on the board than Mitrovica.
  • Mitrovica are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trepca Mitrovice here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 15%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Mitrovica
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
3:1
May 3, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
1:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Trepca Mitrovice
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trepca Mitrovice Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmeti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vojvoda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mitrovica Compare

Top Goalscorer Atta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 23 / 100
Mitrovica 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitrovica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Trepca Mitrovice scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Trepca Mitrovice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS Mitrovica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 40%
88% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
23 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
5 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
23 May
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 3
2 Korriku
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Mitrovica

(Away)
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
18 May
Vellaznimi
1 : 2
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vellaznimi 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
2 Dinamo Ferizaj 4 2 2 0 9:2 8
3 Trepca 89 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 Suhareka 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
5 2 Korriku 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 Liria 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Prishtina e Re 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
8 Istogu 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
9 Rilindja 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
10 Vjosa 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 Ramiz Sadiku 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
12 Kika 4 0 4 0 1:1 4
13 Besa Peja 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Trepca Mitrovice 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
15 KF Lepenci 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
16 Mitrovica 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
17 Ferizaj 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
18 Tefik Canga 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)