Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trepca Mitrovice in this Liga e Pare 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trepca Mitrovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trepca Mitrovice
35%
Draws
29%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mitrovica haven't matched Trepca Mitrovice's recent run of results.
  • Mitrovica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trepca Mitrovice here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 16%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Mitrovica
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.47
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
3:1
May 3, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Mitrovica
1:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Trepca Mitrovice
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 28 / 100
Mitrovica 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitrovica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mitrovica conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Trepca Mitrovice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Trepca Mitrovice's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS Mitrovica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.57
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
23 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
5 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
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Mitrovica

(Away)
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)