Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tres Cantos play Villanueva del Pardillo CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tres Cantos averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Villanueva del Pardillo CF averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Tres Cantos won 1, Villanueva del Pardillo CF won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Tres Cantos and 1.06 for Villanueva del Pardillo CF. This points to a Tres Cantos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Tres Cantos

25%

Draws

35%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tres Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Tres Cantos picked up more points recently compared to Villanueva del Pardillo CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 22%

Villanueva del Pardillo CF Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tres Cantos	Villanueva del Pardillo CF
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	6	10
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	1.26	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.74	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villanueva del Pardillo CF vs Tres Cantos

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Tres Cantos vs Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Cantos 40 / 100

Villanueva del Pardillo CF 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tres Cantos Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tres Cantos or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tres Cantos attacking → ← attacking Villanueva del Pardillo CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Cantos scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tres Cantos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Villanueva del Pardillo CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 34

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid C	34	23	7	4	62:18	76
2	CD Mostoles	34	17	12	5	57:33	63
3	Leganes B	34	16	10	8	47:33	58
4	CD Las Rozas	34	13	11	10	51:39	50
5	Colonia Moscardo	34	14	8	12	48:48	50
6	RSD Alcala	34	13	9	12	52:47	48
7	Tres Cantos	34	14	6	14	45:48	48
8	Alcorcon B	34	11	12	11	36:33	45
9	AD Torrejon	34	9	17	8	40:38	44
10	Galapagar	34	10	11	13	44:55	41
11	Paracuellos Antamira	34	10	10	14	39:47	40
12	Trival Valderas	34	8	16	10	33:40	40
13	Canillas	34	10	10	14	35:46	40
14	Collado Villalba	34	10	9	15	42:46	39
15	Rayo Vallecano B	34	11	6	17	43:57	39
16	Parla	34	9	11	14	37:47	38
17	Villanueva del Pardillo CF	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
18	Pozuelo de Alarcon	34	5	14	15	28:52	29