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Tres Coracoes vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Tres Coracoes and Guarani-MG finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tres Coracoes
15%
Draws
59%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani-MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Guarani-MG taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Guarani-MG have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Guarani-MG
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Guarani-MG
0:3
Sep 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Sep 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Guarani-MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
Guarani-MG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani-MG let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Tres Coracoes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarani-MG
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
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Guarani-MG

(Away)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)