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Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Tres Coracoes and Pocos de Caldas finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocos de Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tres Coracoes
15%
Draws
49%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pocos de Caldas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pocos de Caldas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:1
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 14 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocos de Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Pocos de Caldas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Tres Coracoes scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Pocos de Caldas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6

Pocos de Caldas

(Away)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)