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Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Tres Coracoes and Pocos de Caldas finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocos de Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tres Coracoes
17%
Draws
70%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pocos de Caldas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pocos de Caldas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:1
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 14 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocos de Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Pocos de Caldas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Tres Coracoes scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Pocos de Caldas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santarritense84319:415
2Varginha842218:1314
3Pocos de Caldas835014:514
4Tres Coracoes83149:1510
5Figueirense Esporte Clube80176:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba851225:716
2Araxa842217:714
3Patrocinense832310:1111
4Inter de Minas82517:611
5Araguari80262:302
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO843110:515
2Manchester Futebol842210:514
3Contagem84138:513
4Boston City841311:713
5Betis80173:201