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Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Tres Coracoes and Villa Real finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Coracoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tres Coracoes
15%
Draws
59%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Villa Real
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 30 / 100
Villa Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Villa Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tres Coracoes scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Tres Coracoes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Villa Real
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tres Coracoes

(Home)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6

Villa Real

(Away)
19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0
Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0
Villa Real
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)