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Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Tres Coracoes and Villa Real finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Coracoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tres Coracoes
39%
Draws
30%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Villa Real
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
0:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Tres Coracoes
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Villa Real
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 30 / 100
Villa Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Villa Real

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tres Coracoes scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Tres Coracoes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Villa Real
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132