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Tresnjevka vs Dugo Selo Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tresnjevka
15%
Draws
48%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tresnjevka haven't matched Dugo Selo's recent run of results.
  • Dugo Selo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 20%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Dugo Selo
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Dugo Selo
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Tresnjevka
2:0
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Tresnjevka
2:2
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Dugo Selo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 20 / 100
Dugo Selo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tresnjevka's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tresnjevka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Dugo Selo let in goals in 53% of their last 47 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dugo Selo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
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Dugo Selo

(Away)
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4
Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)