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Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

3 - 2
FT
Lucko Logo

Lucko

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Lucko finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tresnjevka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tresnjevka
30%
Draws
29%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tresnjevka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Lucko carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 20%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Lucko
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Lucko
3:2
Oct 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Tresnjevka
1:0
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Lucko
2:1
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Tresnjevka
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 32 / 100
Lucko 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Tresnjevka found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tresnjevka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucko
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
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Lucko

(Away)
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)