Sport Picks
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Bowen D.
24'
24'
Shaw J.
37'
37'
Amin D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Cardiff Draconians have won more games recently than Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Model gives Trethomas Bluebirds a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trethomas Bluebirds | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians
4:4
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
2 Goals Assists Leader James T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Top Goalscorer Bowen D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trethomas Bluebirds 74 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trethomas Bluebirds Cardiff Draconians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff Draconians has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Trethomas Bluebirds's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Trethomas Bluebirds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Trethomas Bluebirds VS Cardiff Draconians
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
23 Jun
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 3 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Draconians
(Away) 26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4 Cardiff Draconians
06 Mar
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
04 Mar
Trefelin
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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