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Stadium Background

Trevigliese vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Recino G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Trevigliese and Crema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trevigliese
30%
Draws
34%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trevigliese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Trevigliese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 20%
Crema Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Crema
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Crema
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Trevigliese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Recino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 36 / 100
Crema 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crema has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Crema lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Crema
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
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Crema

(Away)
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)