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Trevigliese vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Recino G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Trevigliese and Crema finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Trevigliese
30%
Draws
47%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 15%
Crema Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Crema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Crema
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Trevigliese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Recino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 35 / 100
Crema 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crema has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Crema lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Crema
0.71 Goals Scored 0.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
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Crema

(Away)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)