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Treviso vs Pergolettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treviso host Pergolettese in the Serie C - Group A. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Treviso have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Pergolettese's 1.07 scored and 1.03 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.94, favoring Pergolettese. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Treviso
20%
Draws
47%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pergolettese have won more games recently than Treviso.
  • Model gives Treviso a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Treviso Clean Sheet 20%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Pergolettese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 36 / 100
Pergolettese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treviso found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Pergolettese conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Treviso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Pergolettese has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Pergolettese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0
Treviso
24 Oct
Treviso
2 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
17 Oct
Folgore Caratese
0 : 2
Treviso
11 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Pergolettese

(Away)
30 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Pergolettese
25 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Lumezzane
18 Oct
Ospitaletto
2 : 3
Pergolettese
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 13 8 4 1 26:11 28
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 13 6 3 4 19:15 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 13 4 6 3 21:19 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 13 4 4 5 14:17 16
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)