Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
Treviso
15%
Draws
59%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Vado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
Treviso haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
Treviso are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals96%
Over 1.5 Goals85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)67%
Treviso Clean Sheet10%
Vado Clean Sheet14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Treviso
Vado
Matches Played
29
33
Wins
15
20
Draws
6
6
Losses
8
7
Goals Scored
1.31
2.06
Goals Conceded
0.86
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026Serie D - Group A
TrevisovsVado
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Treviso Compare
Top GoalscorerBeltrame P.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderSalvi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.82
Avg xA / game0.53
Vado Compare
Top GoalscorerDe Rinaldis M.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderVita D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.85
Avg xA / game1.13
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treviso40 / 100
Vado37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treviso Vado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Treviso's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.
Recent resilience: Treviso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treviso VS Vado
1Goals Scored2.63
1.43Goals Conceded1.13
71%Over 1.5100%
43%Over 2.588%
14%Over 3.538%
Recent Form & Match History
Treviso
(Home)
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Conegliano
02 Apr
Altavilla
0 : 1
Treviso
29 Mar
Treviso
0 : 2
FC Obermais
22 Mar
Treviso
0 : 4
Luparense FC
15 Mar
Cjarlins Muzane
1 : 1
Treviso
02 Mar
Treviso
2 : 1
Clodiense
22 Feb
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Treviso
15 Feb
Treviso
2 : 0
Calvi Noale
08 Feb
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Treviso
01 Feb
Treviso
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
25 Jan
Campodarsego
0 : 0
Treviso
18 Jan
Treviso
2 : 0
Adriese
11 Jan
Vigasio
1 : 3
Treviso
04 Jan
Treviso
4 : 0
Portogruaro
21 Dec
Treviso
1 : 0
Mestre
14 Dec
Este
0 : 1
Treviso
07 Dec
Treviso
4 : 0
San Luigi
30 Nov
Conegliano
2 : 1
Treviso
23 Nov
Treviso
1 : 0
Altavilla
16 Nov
FC Obermais
0 : 1
Treviso
09 Nov
Luparense FC
0 : 2
Treviso
02 Nov
Treviso
1 : 0
Cjarlins Muzane
26 Oct
Clodiense
0 : 1
Treviso
19 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Conegliano
29 Mar
Treviso
0 : 2
FC Obermais
22 Mar
Treviso
0 : 4
Luparense FC
02 Mar
Treviso
2 : 1
Clodiense
15 Feb
Treviso
2 : 0
Calvi Noale
01 Feb
Treviso
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
18 Jan
Treviso
2 : 0
Adriese
04 Jan
Treviso
4 : 0
Portogruaro
21 Dec
Treviso
1 : 0
Mestre
07 Dec
Treviso
4 : 0
San Luigi
23 Nov
Treviso
1 : 0
Altavilla
02 Nov
Treviso
1 : 0
Cjarlins Muzane
19 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 3
Vado
(Away)
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1
Inter U23
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Vado
3 : 2
AS Biellese
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Vado
2 : 1
Chisola
29 Mar
Gozzano
1 : 1
Vado
22 Mar
Vado
6 : 1
Valenzana
15 Mar
Vado
0 : 0
Ligorna
01 Mar
Varese FC
1 : 0
Vado
22 Feb
Vado
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
15 Feb
Club Milano
0 : 4
Vado
08 Feb
Vado
5 : 0
Saluzzo
01 Feb
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Vado
25 Jan
Vado
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
18 Jan
Derthona FbC
0 : 1
Vado
11 Jan
Vado
3 : 2
Asti Calcio
04 Jan
Sanremese
3 : 0
Vado
21 Dec
AS Biellese
2 : 3
Vado
14 Dec
Vado
6 : 0
NovaRomentin
07 Dec
Cairese
0 : 0
Vado
30 Nov
Vado
1 : 0
Lavagnese
26 Nov
Vado
1 : 2
Gozzano
23 Nov
Chisola
0 : 1
Vado
02 Nov
Ligorna
1 : 0
Vado
26 Oct
Vado
3 : 1
Varese FC
Page 1 of 7
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
29 Mar
Gozzano
1 : 1
Vado
01 Mar
Varese FC
1 : 0
Vado
15 Feb
Club Milano
0 : 4
Vado
01 Feb
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Vado
18 Jan
Derthona FbC
0 : 1
Vado
04 Jan
Sanremese
3 : 0
Vado
21 Dec
AS Biellese
2 : 3
Vado
07 Dec
Cairese
0 : 0
Vado
23 Nov
Chisola
0 : 1
Vado
02 Nov
Ligorna
1 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vado
2
1
1
0
6:3
4
2
Folgore Caratese
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
3
Treviso
2
0
1
1
3:5
1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 12)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 13)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 14)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 15)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 16)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 17)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 18)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 19)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 20)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Desenzano Calvina
2
1
0
1
2:1
3
2
Grosseto
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
3
Ostiamare
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 21)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 22)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 23)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 24)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 25)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 26)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 27)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 28)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 29)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 30)
Scroll horizontally →
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Scafatese
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
Barletta
2
1
1
0
3:2
4
3
A.C. Savoia
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)