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Treviso vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
De Rinaldis M.
17' Event
Beltrame P.
26' Event
Salvi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Treviso
15%
Draws
59%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Treviso haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Treviso are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Treviso Clean Sheet 10%
Vado Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Vado
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.31 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Treviso vs Vado
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salvi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer De Rinaldis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vita D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 40 / 100
Vado 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Treviso's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Treviso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Vado
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1
Inter U23
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams