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Trident vs Nkana Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trident host Nkana in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Trident have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Nkana's 0.82 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Nkana slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2024, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 0.99) point toward Nkana. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Trident
35%
Draws
32%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nkana have won more games recently than Trident.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Trident Clean Sheet 20%
Nkana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trident Nkana
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 12 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Super League
Trident vs Nkana
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Super League
Nkana vs Trident
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trident 32 / 100
Nkana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trident Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trident's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nkana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Trident stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trident VS Nkana
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trident

(Home)
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
04 May
Trident
1 : 3
Nkwazi
Page 1 of 6

Nkana

(Away)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zanaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nchanga Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nkana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Power Dynamos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Konkola Blades 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 NAPSA Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Muza Fc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kansanshi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Trident 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Makeni All Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zesco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Green Buffaloes FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kabwe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Red Arrows 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Roan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Green Eagles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Nkwazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Mufulira Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mutondo Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Chirundu United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)