Sport Picks
Triestina vs Calvi Noale Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group C Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste 
Match Events
50'
50'
Gashi A.
53'
53'
Beltrame P.
65'
65'
Vona E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C game between Triestina and Calvi Noale finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvi Noale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Triestina haven't matched Calvi Noale's recent run of results.
- Calvi Noale are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Triestina Clean Sheet 14%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Triestina | Calvi Noale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Calvi Noale
1:1
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Triestina
1:2
Oct 16, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Calvi Noale
1:0
Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Triestina
0:0
Sep 16, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Calvi Noale
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Beltrame P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Calvi Noale Compare
Top Goalscorer Gashi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Triestina 11 / 100
Calvi Noale 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Triestina Calvi Noale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Triestina scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Calvi Noale let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Triestina VS Calvi Noale
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Triestina
(Home) 27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0 Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 3
Calvi Noale
(Away) 27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1 Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0 Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2 Mestre
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1 Calvi Noale
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1 Calvi Noale
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3 Calvi Noale
03 Apr
Este
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cjarlins Muzane | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Luparense FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Clodiense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Mestre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Calcio San Dona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Lavarian Mortean Esperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Legnago Salus | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Conegliano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Altavilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Bassano Virtus | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Virtus Bolzano | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Obermais | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Este | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 16 | Schio | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Triestina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Brian Lignano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
