Sport Picks
Triestina vs Cittadella
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste 
Match Events
13'
13'
Falcinelli D.
31'
31'
Sub
Tonetto M. In: Pedicillo L.
Out: Tonetto M.
35'
35'
Angeli M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Triestina and Cittadella finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cittadella come out ahead of Triestina on wins alone.
- Model gives Triestina a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Triestina Clean Sheet 16%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Triestina | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Cittadella
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Triestina
1:0
Sep 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Triestina
0:0
May 7, 2011 Serie B
Triestina vs Cittadella
3:2
Dec 4, 2010 Serie B
Cittadella vs Triestina
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Faggioli A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Falcinelli D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anastasia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Triestina 41 / 100
Cittadella 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Triestina Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Triestina scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Cittadella let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Triestina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Triestina VS Cittadella
1.83 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Triestina
(Home) 25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0 Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
15 Mar
Triestina
2 : 3 Pro Vercelli
03 Mar
Triestina
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Ravenna
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
03 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
