Sport Picks
Triestina vs Cittadella
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste 
Match Events
13'
13'
Falcinelli D.
31'
31'
Sub
Tonetto M. In: Pedicillo L.
Out: Tonetto M.
35'
35'
Angeli M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Triestina and Cittadella finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cittadella come out ahead of Triestina on wins alone.
- Model gives Cittadella a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Triestina Clean Sheet 21%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Triestina | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Cittadella
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Triestina
1:0
Sep 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Triestina
0:0
May 7, 2011 Serie B
Triestina vs Cittadella
3:2
Dec 4, 2010 Serie B
Cittadella vs Triestina
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Faggioli A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Falcinelli D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anastasia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Triestina 10 / 100
Cittadella 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Triestina Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Triestina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Cittadella let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Triestina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Triestina VS Cittadella
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Triestina
(Home) 20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
