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Triestina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Toci E.
54'
Sub
Toci E. In: Marconi G.
Out: Toci E.
55' Event
Marconi G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Triestina and Dolomiti Bellunesi finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dolomiti Bellunesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Triestina
35%
Draws
47%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Triestina Clean Sheet 19%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2:3
Oct 27, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Triestina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Toci E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marconi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 20 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Dolomiti Bellunesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dolomiti Bellunesi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Dolomiti Bellunesi
0.83 Goals Scored 0.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Away)
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)