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Triestina vs Fontanafredda

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 game between Triestina and Fontanafredda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Triestina
35%
Draws
47%
Fontanafredda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fontanafredda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fontanafredda haven't matched Triestina's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fontanafredda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Triestina Clean Sheet 14%
Fontanafredda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Fontanafredda
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Fontanafredda
2:1
Oct 14, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs Triestina
1:2
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs Fontanafredda
0:1
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs Triestina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 15 / 100
Fontanafredda 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Fontanafredda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontanafredda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fontanafredda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Triestina scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
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Fontanafredda

(Away)
22 May
Montebelluna
2 : 0
Fontanafredda
08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2
Calvi Noale
01 May
Tamai
3 : 3
Fontanafredda
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0
Campodarsego
17 Apr
Abano
0 : 2
Fontanafredda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 27 9 2 89:26 90
2 Campodarsego 38 22 13 3 56:31 79
3 Este 38 21 13 4 61:22 76
4 AC Belluno 38 18 13 7 52:38 67
5 Virtus Verona 38 17 12 9 64:37 63
6 Luparense FC 38 16 10 12 65:57 58
7 Tamai 38 13 14 11 45:43 53
8 Mestre 38 13 12 13 71:54 51
9 Abano 38 12 13 13 50:47 49
10 Levico Terme 38 12 12 14 53:53 48
11 USD Dro 38 13 9 16 35:53 48
12 Calvi Noale 38 11 15 12 40:43 48
13 Union Feltre 38 11 12 15 50:56 45
14 Fincantieri Monfalcone 38 12 7 19 47:57 43
15 Montebelluna 38 13 4 21 50:62 43
16 Triestina 38 9 12 17 40:57 39
17 Liventina 38 10 9 19 45:62 39
18 Fontanafredda 38 8 15 15 44:62 39
19 Giorgione 38 9 11 18 42:74 38
20 Sacilese 38 2 7 29 26:91 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Out)