Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triestina vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Morra C.
28'
Silvestri T.
32' Event
Costa F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Triestina and Vicenza finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Triestina
17%
Draws
70%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Triestina haven't matched Vicenza's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vicenza a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vicenza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Triestina Clean Sheet 14%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Vicenza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
1:6
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Voca I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Morra C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rada A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 15 / 100
Vicenza 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LRV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Vicenza has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Vicenza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
02 May
Arezzo
2 : 5
Vicenza
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
Vicenza
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)