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Stadium Background

Triestina vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Morra C.
28'
Silvestri T.
32' Event
Costa F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Triestina and Vicenza finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Triestina
35%
Draws
41%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Triestina haven't matched Vicenza's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Triestina a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vicenza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Vicenza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
1:6
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Vicenza
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Triestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Voca I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vicenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Morra C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rada A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 40 / 100
Vicenza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Vicenza has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Vicenza
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
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Vicenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)