Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triestina vs Virtus Verona

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Vicario J.
21'
Kosijer S.
32' Event
Jonsson K.

AI Match Summary

Triestina in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Triestina
35%
Draws
47%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Triestina lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Verona.
  • Model gives Virtus Verona a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Triestina Clean Sheet 17%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina Virtus Verona
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
5:0
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Triestina
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Triestina
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Virtus Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 20 / 100
Virtus Verona 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Verona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Verona has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Triestina's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS Virtus Verona
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Verona

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)