Sport Picks
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste 
Match Events
14'
14'
Vicario J.
21'
21'
Kosijer S.
32'
32'
Jonsson K.
AI Match Summary
Triestina in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triestina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Triestina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Triestina lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Verona.
- Model gives Triestina a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Triestina Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Triestina | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
5:0
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Triestina
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Triestina
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Virtus Verona
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Triestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Jonsson K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vertainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Virtus Verona Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Triestina 59 / 100
Virtus Verona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Triestina Virtus Verona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Verona has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Triestina's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Triestina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Triestina VS Virtus Verona
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Triestina
(Home) 25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0 Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6 Vicenza
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0 Giana Erminio
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
15 Mar
Triestina
2 : 3 Pro Vercelli
03 Mar
Triestina
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 3
Virtus Verona
(Away) 29 Jul
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1 Virtus Verona
22 Jul
Verona
2 : 1 Virtus Verona
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1 Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1 Virtus Verona
22 Jul
Verona
2 : 1 Virtus Verona
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1 Virtus Verona
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2 Virtus Verona
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
