Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triglav vs Jadran Dekani

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Macak L.
90' Event
Maksimovic T.

AI Match Summary

Triglav in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Triglav
20%
Draws
29%
Jadran Dekani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Triglav lately — more wins on the board than Jadran Dekani.
  • Triglav are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Triglav here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Triglav Clean Sheet 13%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Jadran Dekani
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jadran Dekani
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Triglav
3:4
May 12, 2025 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Triglav
1:6
Nov 3, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jadran Dekani
1:0
May 18, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jadran Dekani
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Macak L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jadran Dekani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 39 / 100
Jadran Dekani 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Jadran Dekani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jadran Dekani conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Triglav remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Jadran Dekani
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
14 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Triglav
07 Aug
Vrhnika
0 : 1
Triglav
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
24 Jul
Triglav
2 : 2
Segesta
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Jadran Dekani

(Away)
29 Aug
Krsko Posavje
0 : 0
Jadran Dekani
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
15 Aug
Primorje
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
08 Aug
Jadran Dekani
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 Jul
Rijeka
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)