Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Triglav vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Kregar O.
77' Event
Dovzan Karahodzic L.

AI Match Summary

Triglav in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Triglav
30%
Draws
31%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Triglav have won more games recently than Rudar.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Triglav taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Triglav Clean Sheet 16%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Rudar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Rudar
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Triglav
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Rudar
5:0
Sep 6, 2024 2. SNL
Rudar vs Triglav
2:2
Apr 19, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Rudar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Kregar O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dovzan Karahodzic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Rudar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 36 / 100
Rudar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Rudar has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Triglav stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Rudar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
14 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Triglav
07 Aug
Vrhnika
0 : 1
Triglav
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
24 Jul
Triglav
2 : 2
Segesta
22 May
Nafta
1 : 1
Triglav
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Rudar

(Away)
14 Aug
Rudar
3 : 0
NK Krka
07 Aug
Beltinci
2 : 0
Rudar
23 May
Tabor Sezana
2 : 0
Rudar
15 May
Rudar
2 : 2
Jadran Dekani
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)