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Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Radovic N.
24' Event
Poplatnik M.
58' Event
Hegic B.

AI Match Summary

Triglav in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Triglav
20%
Draws
33%
Slovan Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Slovan Ljubljana haven't matched Triglav's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Triglav taking it.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Triglav here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Triglav Clean Sheet 20%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Slovan Ljubljana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana
3:0
Mar 20, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana
4:1
Mar 30, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Slovan Ljubljana
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Radovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poplatnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 85 / 100
Slovan Ljubljana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Slovan Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Triglav scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Slovan Ljubljana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Triglav went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Slovan Ljubljana
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
26 Sept
Triglav
1 : 1
Primorje
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
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Slovan Ljubljana

(Away)
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Beltinci 8 5 1 2 19:9 16
3 Triglav 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
4 Jesenice 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
5 Rudar 8 5 0 3 18:13 15
6 Ilirija 8 4 1 3 13:6 13
7 Vrhnika 8 4 1 3 10:12 13
8 Slovan Ljubljana 8 4 1 3 9:14 13
9 Bilje 8 4 0 4 15:17 12
10 Jadran Dekani 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
11 Bistrica 8 3 1 4 9:13 10
12 Primorje 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
13 Krsko Posavje 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
14 NK Krka 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
15 Dravinja 8 1 1 6 8:20 4
16 NK Brezice 8 0 1 7 7:17 1
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)