Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trinidad & Tobago vs Cuba

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Dwight Yorke Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gilbert D.
Assist: James N.
24'
Cavafe
28' Event
Jones J.
Assist: Gilbert D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Trinidad & Tobago and Cuba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trinidad & Tobago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Trinidad & Tobago
6%
Draws
90%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cuba's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Trinidad & Tobago have produced (1.13).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Trinidad & Tobago here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 22%
Cuba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trinidad & Tobago Cuba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Cuba
4:0
Mar 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Cuba vs Trinidad & Tobago
1:2
Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Trinidad & Tobago vs Cuba
3:1
Oct 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Trinidad & Tobago
2:2
Jul 12, 2015 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Cuba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilbert D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trinidad & Tobago 10 / 100
Cuba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trinidad & Tobago Cuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Trinidad & Tobago scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cuba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Cuba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trinidad & Tobago VS Cuba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica42207:18
2Suriname42119:47
3Guatemala42116:57
4Martinique41214:55
5Guadeloupe41121:44
6Guyana40135:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica42204:18
2Honduras42118:47
3Nicaragua42115:57
4Trinidad & Tobago41215:75
5Cuba40314:63
6French Guiana40134:71