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Trinidad & Tobago W vs Mexico W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ferral C.

AI Match Summary

Trinidad & Tobago W play Mexico W in the Gold Cup Women. Mexico W are favorites here. Recently, Trinidad & Tobago W averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. Mexico W averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded. In past meetings, Trinidad & Tobago W won 0, Mexico W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 5, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Trinidad & Tobago W and 1.88 for Mexico W. This points to a Mexico W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Trinidad & Tobago W
6%
Draws
90%
Mexico W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mexico W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Trinidad & Tobago W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mexico W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gold Cup Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Trinidad & Tobago W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trinidad & Tobago W Mexico W
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 26
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Trinidad & Tobago W vs Mexico W
0:1
Sep 27, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Mexico W vs Trinidad & Tobago W
6:0
Oct 7, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Mexico W vs Trinidad & Tobago W
4:1
Jul 21, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico W vs Trinidad & Tobago W
5:1
Dec 20, 2015 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Trinidad & Tobago W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trinidad & Tobago W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferral C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trinidad & Tobago W 10 / 100
Mexico W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trinidad & Tobago W Mexico W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trinidad & Tobago W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Mexico W let in goals in 38% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Trinidad & Tobago W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mexico W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trinidad & Tobago W VS Mexico W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440012:112
2Puerto Rico W41123:64
3Trinidad & Tobago W40131:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W42118:57
2Guatemala W41216:85
3Jamaica W40315:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W430132:29
2Haiti W430126:29
3Saint Kitts and Nevis W40040:540