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Triomphe Liancourt vs Mirebalais

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Triomphe Liancourt play Mirebalais in the Championnat National 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Triomphe Liancourt averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Mirebalais averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Triomphe Liancourt won 2, Mirebalais won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2020 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.65 for Triomphe Liancourt and 0.65 for Mirebalais. This points to a Triomphe Liancourt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Triomphe Liancourt
35%
Draws
30%
Mirebalais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Triomphe Liancourt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Triomphe Liancourt picked up more points recently compared to Mirebalais.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.65 vs 0.65 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 11%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Triomphe Liancourt Clean Sheet 28%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triomphe Liancourt Mirebalais
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 15
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.81 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2020 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Mirebalais
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Mirebalais
2:0
Sep 1, 2019 Championnat National
Triomphe Liancourt vs Mirebalais
0:0
Mar 2, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Triomphe Liancourt
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triomphe Liancourt 37 / 100
Mirebalais 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triomphe Liancourt Mirebalais

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Triomphe Liancourt or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +46.1%
7.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Triomphe Liancourt attacking → ← attacking Mirebalais

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triomphe Liancourt scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Mirebalais let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Triomphe Liancourt went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mirebalais lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 33
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arcahaie1793520:1030
2Baltimore1786312:530
3Triomphe Liancourt1793517:1530
4AS Capoise1776416:1227
5Racing Haitien1783617:1427
6Violette17510218:1325
7Cavaly1774616:1425
8America des Cayes1774616:1525
9Real du Cap1765621:1523
10Tempete1764718:1522
11Juventus1764712:1622
12Rivartibonitienne1755715:2220
13Don Bosco1747620:2119
14Ouanaminthe1746711:1818
15Cosmopolites1746713:2318
16Fica17211417:1617
17Racing des Gonaives1737712:1816
18Mirebalais1728710:1914